Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.035445e-05 0.000107 0.000125 0.000145 0.000168 0.000192 0.000219
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.667311e-05 0.000088 0.000113 0.000143 0.000177 0.000215 0.000260
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.399803e-05 0.000077 0.000105 0.000140 0.000182 0.000230 0.000288
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.367287e-05 0.000068 0.000099 0.000139 0.000188 0.000246 0.000318
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.730106e-05 0.000063 0.000096 0.000140 0.000195 0.000262 0.000346
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.178688e-05 0.000058 0.000093 0.000141 0.000203 0.000279 0.000376
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.687556e-05 0.000053 0.000089 0.000140 0.000208 0.000291 0.000399
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.164805e-05 0.000046 0.000083 0.000136 0.000208 0.000298 0.000416
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.003116e-05 0.000045 0.000084 0.000142 0.000220 0.000320 0.000452
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.594512e-05 0.000040 0.000078 0.000137 0.000219 0.000325 0.000466
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.369749e-05 0.000037 0.000076 0.000137 0.000224 0.000337 0.000490
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.128086e-05 0.000034 0.000073 0.000136 0.000226 0.000346 0.000509
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.017843e-05 0.000033 0.000074 0.000140 0.000238 0.000368 0.000546
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.279334e-06 0.000030 0.000071 0.000140 0.000243 0.000381 0.000571
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.269944e-06 0.000026 0.000066 0.000136 0.000242 0.000386 0.000587
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.079738e-06 0.000024 0.000064 0.000136 0.000246 0.000399 0.000613
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.057212e-06 0.000022 0.000062 0.000136 0.000251 0.000410 0.000637
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.391211e-06 0.000021 0.000062 0.000137 0.000258 0.000427 0.000667
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.567312e-06 0.000019 0.000059 0.000136 0.000260 0.000436 0.000688
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.787006e-06 0.000017 0.000055 0.000133 0.000259 0.000441 0.000703
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.618283e-06 0.000017 0.000057 0.000138 0.000272 0.000464 0.000743
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.035373e-06 0.000014 0.000053 0.000133 0.000269 0.000466 0.000754
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 7.562072e-07 0.000013 0.000052 0.000134 0.000273 0.000478 0.000779